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-15 either means that your License Manager (NLM) isn't running or a firewall is blocking it (or the dreaded IPv6 incompatibility issue.)
I have many fixes listed for this in my signature line.
For a Quick-Start Guide on configuring the Autodesk License Manager, please see my post for further information:
http://forums.autodesk.com/t5/Installation-Licensing/Quick-Start-Guide-for-Configuring-LMTOOLS/m-p/3...
For more information about Network License Manager connectivity issues and IPv6, please see my discussion post here:
http://forums.autodesk.com/t5/Installation-Licensing/Network-License-Error-1-5-15-and-IPv6/td-p/2982...